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INTERANNUAL RECURRENCE OF SATELLITE-OBSERVED FORMALDEHYDE TRANSITIONS AND SEASONALLY STRUCTURED, COORDINATED MULTIPOLLUTANT SHIFTS AT A TROPICAL URBAN FOREST–CITY INTERFACE IN WEST AFRICA (2024–2026)

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  • INTERANNUAL RECURRENCE OF SATELLITE-OBSERVED FORMALDEHYDE TRANSITIONS AND SEASONALLY STRUCTURED, COORDINATED MULTIPOLLUTANT SHIFTS AT A TROPICAL URBAN FOREST–CITY INTERFACE IN WEST AFRICA (2024–2026)

Aka Jacques Adon 1, *, Guebi Daniel Akagbo 1, Véronique Yoboué 2 and Aristide Akpo 3

1 Laboratory of Fundamental and Applied Physics, Faculty of Fundamental and Applied Sciences (UFR SFA), Nangui Abrogoua University, 02 BP 801 Abidjan 02, Côte d’Ivoire
2 Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Faculty of Sciences of the Structures of Matter and Technology (UFR SSMT), Félix Houphouët-Boigny University, BPV 34 Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire
3 Laboratory of Radiation Physics, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques (FAST), University of Abomey-Calavi, Cotonou, Benin
* Corresponding Author; Email: adonjacks1@gmail.com
ORCID Details
Aka Jacques Adon: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-4979-6494

Research Article

GSC Advanced Research and Reviews, 2026, 29(02), 021–040

Article DOI: 10.30574/gscarr.2026.29.2.0290

DOI url: https://doi.org/10.30574/gscarr.2026.29.2.0290

Received on 25 August 2026; revised on 28 October 2026; accepted on 30 October 2026

Forest–city interfaces combine biogenic, urban and regional combustion influences under strong seasonality. We test whether recurrent 2024–2026 tropospheric HCHO transitions at the Banco forest–metropolis interface in Abidjan are accompanied by coordinated multipollutant shifts, and whether such shifts can be separated from the seasonal cycle. The change points fall on 9 March 2024, 13 April 2025 and 13 April 2026, all within the long rainy season. The primary PCA uses the HCHO–NO₂–tropospheric-O₃ block on 441 complete-case dates; a five-species PCA adding CO and SO₂ is complementary because their extraction chain cannot be fully certified. Primary PC1 explains 54.1 % of variance, with loadings +0.861 (HCHO), +0.821 (NO₂) and −0.456 (O₃), and its raw transition contrasts are −1.416, −1.737 and −1.368 in 2024–2026. After categorical seasonal adjustment, without refitting the PCA, these contrasts become +0.026, −0.409 and −0.188; only the 2025 residual decrease remains robust across block lengths. Under a pre-specified harmonic adjustment, no primary residual contrast is robust in any year on either the 441-date or the 487-date support, while raw contrasts remain robust. HCHO–NO₂ covariance remains robust across block lengths after categorical seasonal adjustment (ρ = 0.267; within-year block bootstrap). The evidence supports recurrent, strongly seasonally structured coordinated multipollutant shifts. Categorical and harmonic seasonal representations diverge, consistent with transitions recurring at similar calendar dates; a season-independent component therefore cannot be robustly isolated from three years of data, which does not establish that none exists. No source attribution is made, and the primary inference does not rely on CO/SO₂.

HCHO; NO₂; CO; Tropospheric O₃; Air Pollution; Multipollutant Covariance; Hydro-Meteorology; Fires; Banco; Abidjan; West Africa.

https://gscarr.gsconlinepress.com/sites/default/files/fulltext_pdf/GSCARR-2026-…

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Aka Jacques Adon, Guebi Daniel Akagbo, Véronique Yoboué and Aristide Akpo. INTERANNUAL RECURRENCE OF SATELLITE-OBSERVED FORMALDEHYDE TRANSITIONS AND SEASONALLY STRUCTURED, COORDINATED MULTIPOLLUTANT SHIFTS AT A TROPICAL URBAN FOREST–CITY INTERFACE IN WEST AFRICA (2024–2026). GSC Advanced Research and Reviews, 2026, 29(02), 021–040. Article DOI: https://doi.org/10.30574/gscarr.2026.29.2.0290.

Copyright © Author(s). All rights reserved. This article is published under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution, and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as appropriate credit is given to the original author(s) and source, a link to the license is provided, and any changes made are indicated.


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